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AI and the Investment Power of Sales Per Employee
Its impact on employment is among the most widely discussed potential consequences of the AI revolution. But will this shift have a...
Joseph Mezrich
Jun 252 min read


Momentum is a proxy for sales growth
Theories explaining momentum typically fall into behavioral, risk-based, or market structure categories, often avoiding the harder...
Joseph Mezrich
May 291 min read


Tech Narratives Decoded: ChatGPT Meets Metafoura.com
Shifts in factor effectiveness signal deeper market narrative changes--specifically, what investors are pricing. The charts here show how...
Joseph Mezrich
May 132 min read


Themes & Tariffs
Tracking the returns of thematic baskets is a helpful way to see how the tariff turmoil is affecting equities. The chart showing the...
Joseph Mezrich
Apr 241 min read


Is Tech Exceptionalism Gone?
Tech stocks are performing poorly in 2025, with February's tariff-driven market shock accelerating the decline. I made a short video...
Joseph Mezrich
Apr 31 min read


Leverage in Large Caps, Value in Small Caps
Value investing's performance has diverged sharply between large-cap and small-cap stocks in recent years. While value strategies have...
Joseph Mezrich
Mar 31 min read


Tech's Factor Narrative: Profitability Beats Innovation
AI-based techniques, such as natural language processing (NLP) analysis of earnings calls, can reveal management or analyst sentiment...
Joseph Mezrich
Feb 182 min read


Bigger Is Better for Innovation Investing
Is money better spent on research to drive innovation in small or large companies? This question is significant for government policies...
Joseph Mezrich
Jan 262 min read


The Stock Market's Profit Bet
Typically, earnings growth is more important than sales growth for stock performance. However, as the chart illustrates, this was not the...
Joseph Mezrich
Dec 18, 20241 min read


Small Caps Reward Big Spending
Since early September, small-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks. Investors' recent enthusiasm for small caps is evident in...
Joseph Mezrich
Nov 27, 20241 min read


Where was the stock market's momentum strongest last week?
The stock market reacted enthusiastically to the election results, and momentum played a significant role in almost every market segment.
Joseph Mezrich
Nov 11, 20241 min read


The stock market’s leverage bet
It is surprising and potentially alarming that financial leverage has been a powerful driver of stock returns during the market rally...
Joseph Mezrich
Nov 3, 20241 min read


Opportunity in active value – an update
In a recent post, I highlighted an example of what can be missed when using a passive index approach to value. In the consumer staples...
Joseph Mezrich
Oct 15, 20241 min read


What passive value investing misses
It is not uncommon for different value metrics to produce different investment outcomes, so value indices and ETFs generally blend value...
Joseph Mezrich
Oct 1, 20242 min read


How to Invest in Productivity
The sales/employee ratio should be a good measure of employee productivity. However, it varies considerably across market sectors, much...
Joseph Mezrich
Sep 19, 20241 min read


Could Buybacks be a Presidential Election Indicator?
In his March State of the Union address, President Biden proposed raising the excise tax on stock buybacks from 1% to 4% to discourage...
Joseph Mezrich
Sep 9, 20242 min read


Momentum is losing the momentum-reversal competition
Momentum was a driving force for the market in 2024 until momentum peaked on July 9. Momentum resumed its upward climb at the end of...
Joseph Mezrich
Aug 22, 20242 min read


A worrisome shift in tech stock drivers
A distinction of tech companies is that they are sources of innovation and growth. In addition, large-cap tech companies often rank among...
Joseph Mezrich
Aug 16, 20241 min read


Factors Say it’s a Bottom – For Now
Two notable features of the 2024 market rally were the power of momentum and the dominance of large-cap stocks. The market peaked on July...
Joseph Mezrich
Aug 9, 20241 min read


AI Frenzy and AI Fatigue in Tech Stocks
The public was introduced to Open AI's ChatGPT on November 30, 2022. It took a month for the potential of this breakthrough to electrify...
Joseph Mezrich
Jul 1, 20242 min read
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